CryptoPunk #8863 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Mohawk Dark, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.3 ETH (about $88,029). 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Chinstrap -5%, Mohawk Dark -8%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8056 2026-03-10: 50.0 ETH (51.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5213 2025-06-30: 50.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #638 2025-03-09: 76.0 ETH (60.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7115 2024-11-11: 28.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-07-20: 52.4 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-16: 33.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-06-05: 33.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.