CryptoPunk #8868 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Hoodie, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 227 ETH (about $515,682). 1σ range 85.4 to 602 ETH, 2σ range 32.2 to 1,599 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 227 ETH (beta), 1σ range 85.4 to 602 ETH, 2σ range 32.2 to 1,599 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Hoodie +238%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4441 2026-06-26: 278 ETH (261 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (199 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4770 2026-03-28: 117 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5402 2026-02-09: 144 ETH (145 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5402 2026-02-02: 114 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6634 2025-03-19: 223 ETH (174 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-02-06: 206 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-01: 289 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.