CryptoPunk #8870 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Earring, Top Hat, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 48.5 ETH (about $110,285). 1σ range 38.9 to 60.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 75.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 48.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.9 to 60.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 75.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2025-10-06: 51.7 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8965 2025-03-05: 50.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-12-17: 1.20 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-04: 120 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-13: 200 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.