CryptoPunk #8871 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Earring, Stringy Hair, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $71,152). 1σ range 28.6 to 34.3 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 37.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 37.7 ETH, 2.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.6 to 34.3 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 37.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2913 2025-02-08: 41.5 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2913 2025-01-22: 37.5 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-12: 30.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6980 2026-07-02: 43.5 ETH (40.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2595 2026-06-13: 31.9 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-06-19: 0.70 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-20: 1.14 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-11: 1.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-24: 2.40 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-01: 5.75 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-31: 17.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 119 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 96.9 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.