CryptoPunk #8886 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Tiara, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 53.1 ETH (about $128,670). 1σ range 40.1 to 70.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 92.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 107 ETH, 2.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 53.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 40.1 to 70.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 92.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Tiara +71%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5295 2025-11-06: 50.0 ETH (43.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5295 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5295 2025-07-22: 53.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5295 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2158 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1603 2026-10-22: 62.0 ETH (60.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-05: 6.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-06: 11.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.