CryptoPunk #8916 valuation (beta)
Female, Pigtails, Cigarette, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.3 ETH (about $66,628). 1σ range 27.7 to 31.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 32.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 31.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 32.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9428 2025-07-21: 50.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9149 2025-05-08: 64.0 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-09: 32.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-28: 40.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-19: 76.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-20: 78.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-17: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-15: 38.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.