CryptoPunk #8948 valuation (beta)
Male, Spots, Mohawk Dark, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $71,168). 1σ range 28.8 to 34.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 36.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 48.9 ETH, 5.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 34.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 36.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9002 2026-03-19: 32.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6746 2025-10-25: 45.0 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6746 2025-10-22: 40.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7162 2025-07-24: 115 ETH (69.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6746 2025-03-12: 51.5 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7162 2025-01-25: 112 ETH (82.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-10-06: 48.9 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-06: 48.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.