CryptoPunk #8949 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Frumpy Hair, Vape, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,719). 1σ range 27.9 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.9 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 80.0 ETH, 10.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.9 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.9 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3218 2026-08-29: 32.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3218 2026-02-05: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4552 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-11-23: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2019-11-23: 0.26 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 39.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-26: 82.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-09: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-22: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-12: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-07: 27.8 ETH (sale)
- 2026-07-31: 35.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.