CryptoPunk #8974 valuation (beta)
Male, Hoodie, Cigarette, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 106 ETH (about $240,635). 1σ range 58.2 to 192 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 350 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 106 ETH (beta), 1σ range 58.2 to 192 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 350 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Hoodie +238%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (199 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5402 2026-02-09: 144 ETH (145 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5402 2026-02-02: 114 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9901 2026-01-20: 120 ETH (132 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4668 2025-07-25: 250 ETH (144 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4653 2025-07-25: 129 ETH (74.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9778 2025-05-31: 150 ETH (98.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-06: 0.45 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.