CryptoPunk #8977 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Crazy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.9 ETH (about $70,176). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.4 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 90.0 ETH, 19.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.4 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 26.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 25.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-08-09: 54.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7136 2025-04-24: 50.0 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7136 2025-03-15: 39.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-01-09: 37.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7136 2024-11-11: 28.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-05-09: 52.3 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.