CryptoPunk #8978 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Purple Hair, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.1 ETH (about $82,182). 1σ range 32.8 to 39.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 43.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 59.6 ETH, 5.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.8 to 39.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 43.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9016 2026-05-19: 35.4 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9016 2026-05-11: 33.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6138 2025-10-22: 42.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4234 2025-08-05: 60.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1114 2025-07-25: 53.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3696 2025-07-20: 46.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9016 2025-02-25: 35.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9016 2024-11-27: 41.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-04: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-22: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 67.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-09-12: 55.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.