CryptoPunk #8993 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Wild Hair, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $79,991). 1σ range 32.1 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 86.9 ETH, 10.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.1 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (53.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8336 2026-05-16: 50.0 ETH (45.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4791 2026-04-25: 27.7 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9891 2025-10-10: 50.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9891 2025-08-10: 56.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9634 2025-02-11: 47.5 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9634 2025-01-14: 47.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8336 2024-11-13: 34.7 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-25: 22.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-24: 130 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 85.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-26: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-24: 61.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-26: 36.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.