CryptoPunk #909 valuation (beta)
Male, Stringy Hair, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.6 ETH (about $74,148). 1σ range 30.1 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 31.0 ETH, 0.6σ below the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.1 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5327 2026-07-28: 35.4 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5327 2026-07-15: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-02-16: 29.1 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7046 2025-10-09: 48.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-01-30: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-12: 32.4 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-15: 29.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-22: 29.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-07-25: 34.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.