CryptoPunk #915 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Cowboy Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 65.3 ETH (about $148,377). 1σ range 45.6 to 93.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 134 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 3.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 65.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 45.6 to 93.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 134 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-12: 45.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 130 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.