CryptoPunk #9165 valuation (beta)
Male, Frumpy Hair, Cigarette, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.6 ETH (about $85,546). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5975 2026-08-30: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8480 2026-08-25: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6530 2026-04-09: 37.3 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #235 2026-03-17: 34.9 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5227 2026-01-03: 28.7 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2266 2025-12-12: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8530 2025-10-31: 54.0 ETH (43.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-02-21: 42.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.