CryptoPunk #9202 valuation (beta)
Male, Messy Hair, Pipe, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $82,123). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 41.5 ETH, 2.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8833 2026-04-03: 39.3 ETH (43.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8205 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8205 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8833 2025-12-22: 33.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8832 2025-04-14: 53.7 ETH (38.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8028 2025-03-05: 38.5 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8832 2025-02-10: 40.3 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5542 2024-12-17: 41.8 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-07-10: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.