CryptoPunk #9316 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Chinstrap, Earring, Crazy Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.7 ETH (about $88,883). 1σ range 32.9 to 40.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 45.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 2,000 ETH, 36.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 40.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 45.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Smile +17%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2505 2026-08-20: 32.3 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #624 2026-02-05: 33.5 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #624 2025-08-20: 56.9 ETH (36.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #624 2024-11-15: 35.0 ETH (28.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8264 2026-10-14: 55.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-08: 0.25 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-01-14: 1.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-02-11: 0.85 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.