CryptoPunk #9405 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Knitted Cap, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9788 2026-02-21: 52.7 ETH (53.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9788 2025-07-25: 62.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8123 2026-08-05: 41.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2256 2026-03-29: 34.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5269 2025-12-08: 29.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-06-08: 51.8 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-05-28: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2200 2025-04-05: 52.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-05: 10.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-01: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-25: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-11-08: 64.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.