CryptoPunk #9418 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Muttonchops, Crazy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.1 ETH (about $97,993). 1σ range 36.6 to 50.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 59.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.6 to 50.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 59.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Smile +17%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1572 2026-04-02: 28.3 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1572 2026-03-30: 29.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7314 2025-08-18: 53.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7314 2025-08-12: 58.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5229 2025-07-16: 47.7 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7729 2025-04-22: 49.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9813 2025-02-19: 45.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-09-06: 139 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.