CryptoPunk #9420 valuation (beta)
Male, Fedora, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,337). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 428 ETH, 32.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7960 2025-03-05: 55.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7358 2026-09-01: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8480 2026-08-25: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-03: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2019-01-19: 0.40 ETH (sale)
- 2019-05-08: 0.49 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-22: 54.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 140 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-10-31: 111 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-04: 119 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.