CryptoPunk #9434 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Bandana, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.6 ETH (about $76,308). 1σ range 30.9 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.9 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4426 2025-04-15: 48.7 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4052 2026-05-15: 34.9 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4052 2026-05-13: 34.4 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8788 2026-04-28: 31.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-04-22: 29.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-07-29: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2019-09-13: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-20: 1.00 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.