CryptoPunk #9440 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Stringy Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.3 ETH (about $85,636). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 42.2 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 133 ETH, 14.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 42.2 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Stringy Hair -3%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7981 2026-04-17: 25.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5467 2025-09-23: 45.6 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7981 2025-05-15: 46.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5036 2025-03-31: 47.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5858 2025-01-02: 42.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4100 2024-11-15: 37.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4100 2024-11-15: 36.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-20: 20.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.