CryptoPunk #945 valuation (beta)
Male, Cowboy Hat, Big Shades, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 69.9 ETH (about $158,901). 1σ range 47.2 to 104 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 153 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 69.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 47.2 to 104 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 153 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Cowboy Hat +96%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3698 2025-03-14: 86.5 ETH (67.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6892 2025-03-13: 45.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7585 2025-02-04: 85.0 ETH (63.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-01-07: 82.0 ETH (66.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6892 2024-12-02: 46.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-15: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-06: 137 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.