CryptoPunk #9476 valuation (beta)
Male, Hoodie, Cigarette, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 154 ETH (about $373,562). 1σ range 70.4 to 338 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 740 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 275 ETH, 0.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 154 ETH (beta), 1σ range 70.4 to 338 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 740 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Hoodie +237%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (54.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (153 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (201 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9901 2026-01-20: 120 ETH (134 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8407 2025-10-27: 100 ETH (77.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4653 2025-07-25: 129 ETH (75.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9778 2025-05-31: 150 ETH (99.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6634 2025-03-19: 223 ETH (176 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-28: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 115 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-18: 370 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-10: 218 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.