CryptoPunk #949 valuation (beta)
Female, Pigtails, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5893 2026-10-15: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5893 2026-09-27: 31.0 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9546 2026-08-20: 40.0 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4654 2026-07-03: 78.0 ETH (72.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2837 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2828 2026-05-16: 32.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-05-14: 60.0 ETH (60.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-03-26: 2.00 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.