CryptoPunk #9509 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Vampire Hair, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $77,635). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5559 2026-09-21: 30.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-09-21: 34.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-06-11: 36.9 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3624 2026-05-05: 34.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3624 2026-02-06: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-02-05: 29.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-02-03: 28.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6485 2025-12-22: 29.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-08-01: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-23: 75.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.