CryptoPunk #9516 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Muttonchops, Knitted Cap, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,911). 1σ range 28.0 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.7 ETH, 6.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.0 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 37.0 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6117 2025-08-08: 53.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6117 2024-11-15: 36.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2026-09-09: 28.2 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2026-09-05: 28.3 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6438 2026-08-12: 38.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4715 2026-07-21: 39.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-07-21: 49.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-29: 46.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-01: 46.5 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-01: 46.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.