CryptoPunk #9518 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Messy Hair, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 65.7 ETH, 4.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2926 2026-06-30: 39.5 ETH (37.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2926 2026-05-13: 34.5 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1862 2026-04-14: 42.0 ETH (48.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1862 2026-04-02: 34.5 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2926 2026-02-17: 34.9 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2926 2026-02-12: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-04: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-08: 5.98 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-09: 41.2 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-10: 42.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.