CryptoPunk #9525 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Bandana, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.1 ETH (about $85,130). 1σ range 31.9 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 42.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 94.0 ETH, 10.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.9 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 42.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9421 2025-08-06: 54.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9421 2025-07-20: 52.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9833 2024-12-03: 45.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8264 2026-10-14: 55.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-03: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.