CryptoPunk #9530 valuation (beta)
Male, Top Hat, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.9 ETH (about $99,779). 1σ range 37.0 to 52.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 61.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.0 to 52.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 61.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Top Hat +30%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-09-23: 34.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-08-05: 30.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6648 2026-08-03: 42.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5631 2026-07-28: 48.7 ETH (45.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-07-26: 33.5 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-07-14: 30.1 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-08: 0.41 ETH (sale)
- 2019-12-29: 1.65 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 299 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.