CryptoPunk #9536 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Front Beard, Earring, Messy Hair, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $71,566). 1σ range 28.8 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.3 to 37.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 75.0 ETH, 9.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.3 to 37.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9975 2025-04-08: 48.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9975 2025-04-05: 45.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #735 2024-12-11: 68.0 ETH (51.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9178 2024-11-11: 31.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-13: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 87.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.