CryptoPunk #954 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Frumpy Hair, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6667 2026-01-23: 36.5 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6667 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7999 2025-12-29: 27.4 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1246 2025-09-03: 48.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8399 2025-07-29: 54.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2025-07-24: 49.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-08-12: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.