CryptoPunk #9540 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Earring, Messy Hair, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #757 2025-05-09: 43.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #757 2025-05-06: 41.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2025-03-23: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2025-01-03: 38.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2025-01-02: 38.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2024-12-21: 36.5 ETH (27.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2024-11-14: 33.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-01: 16.2 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-17: 21.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-17: 24.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-10-17: 105 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-30: 74.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.