CryptoPunk #9557 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Do-rag, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $80,141). 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9119 2026-02-06: 33.8 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9950 2026-08-08: 39.7 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4325 2026-07-25: 38.5 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4325 2026-07-23: 32.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-02-01: 30.7 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-01-16: 30.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-01-10: 29.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-09: 18.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.