CryptoPunk #9558 valuation (beta)
Male, Frumpy Hair, Cigarette, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.4 ETH (about $96,308). 1σ range 36.2 to 49.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.0 to 57.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.2 to 49.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.0 to 57.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Frumpy Hair -7%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8480 2026-08-25: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #235 2026-03-17: 34.9 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5227 2026-01-03: 28.7 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2266 2025-12-12: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8407 2025-10-27: 100 ETH (76.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8480 2025-10-16: 42.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3730 2025-07-29: 58.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5227 2025-07-24: 50.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-08-14: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-14: 24.0 ETH (accepted bid, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2024-08-14: 24.0 ETH (sale, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.