CryptoPunk #9578 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Cap Forward, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 54.1 ETH (about $123,113). 1σ range 41.4 to 70.9 ETH, 2σ range 31.6 to 92.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 54.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 41.4 to 70.9 ETH, 2σ range 31.6 to 92.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6042 2026-04-10: 92.5 ETH (99.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7233 2025-04-02: 49.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9684 2024-11-22: 78.4 ETH (63.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4620 2024-11-12: 36.0 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-30: 36.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-11: 36.6 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-12: 93.3 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.