CryptoPunk #9581 valuation (beta)
Female, Straight Hair Dark, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.9 ETH (about $70,176). 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7877 2026-05-16: 32.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7877 2026-05-06: 30.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 26.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 25.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-08-09: 54.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6253 2025-07-21: 50.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-01-09: 37.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-01: 17.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-27: 22.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-26: 21.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 58.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.