CryptoPunk #9649 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Mohawk Dark, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.5 ETH (about $90,852). 1σ range 33.6 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.6 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7807 2026-04-18: 28.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7807 2026-04-13: 27.5 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6056 2026-01-08: 40.0 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1117 2026-01-05: 32.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2528 2025-11-27: 34.1 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5290 2025-11-21: 35.3 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6746 2025-10-25: 45.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6138 2025-10-22: 42.0 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-01-21: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-26: 63.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.