CryptoPunk #9650 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Wild Blonde, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 46.1 ETH (about $104,804). 1σ range 37.4 to 56.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 70.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 46.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.4 to 56.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 70.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, 3D Glasses +46%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8293 2026-07-01: 70.0 ETH (67.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4294 2026-07-01: 50.0 ETH (48.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7367 2026-05-29: 55.0 ETH (53.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4099 2026-04-30: 64.9 ETH (63.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6972 2025-07-20: 44.5 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4868 2025-05-28: 76.5 ETH (49.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6377 2025-04-25: 55.0 ETH (38.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3441 2025-04-04: 69.7 ETH (49.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-19: 108 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-19: 169 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.