CryptoPunk #9656 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Earring, Frumpy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.6 ETH (about $65,016). 1σ range 25.8 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 23.4 to 35.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.8 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 23.4 to 35.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mole -7%, Earring -2%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3296 2025-03-17: 78.0 ETH (61.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3296 2025-03-10: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-09: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3218 2026-08-29: 32.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-13: 37.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-28: 3.43 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-11: 18.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-22: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-23: 96.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-24: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-27: 77.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-31: 81.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.