CryptoPunk #9684 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Cap Forward, Pipe, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 63.1 ETH (about $143,364). 1σ range 44.7 to 89.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.6 to 126 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 140 ETH, 2.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 63.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 44.7 to 89.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.6 to 126 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6042 2026-04-10: 92.5 ETH (99.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5355 2025-10-30: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3677 2025-10-25: 78.0 ETH (60.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3677 2025-08-10: 72.7 ETH (40.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1288 2025-06-06: 59.0 ETH (39.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7685 2025-03-03: 58.0 ETH (48.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7685 2025-02-17: 60.0 ETH (50.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9299 2024-11-17: 42.0 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-28: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-09: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-11: 55.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-12: 59.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 120 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-06: 127 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-06: 152 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-22: 78.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.