CryptoPunk #9706 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.9 ETH (about $79,284). 1σ range 31.9 to 38.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.9 to 38.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6585 2025-03-11: 45.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4204 2025-02-07: 39.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-08: 31.7 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-10-02: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2026-06-12: 42.1 ETH (sale)
- 2026-10-07: 37.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.