CryptoPunk #9716 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Mohawk Dark, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.6 ETH (about $74,203). 1σ range 30.1 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.9 ETH, 6.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.1 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3862 2026-08-25: 32.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3862 2026-08-23: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-06-11: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2026-06-05: 33.9 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2026-03-16: 33.0 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5269 2025-12-08: 29.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2404 2025-07-28: 52.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-17: 0.60 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-16: 78.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-20: 25.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-27: 39.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.