CryptoPunk #9765 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Earring, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.3 ETH (about $64,258). 1σ range 25.4 to 31.4 ETH, 2σ range 22.9 to 34.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.4 to 31.4 ETH, 2σ range 22.9 to 34.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%, Earring -2%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-05-04: 29.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8332 2026-08-21: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-17: 0.72 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-15: 48.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-15: 53.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-06: 74.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-18: 64.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-03-17: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.