CryptoPunk #9766 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Wild Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-01: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (42.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4791 2026-04-25: 27.7 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-04-01: 38.0 ETH (40.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-03-04: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-11: 35.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.