CryptoPunk #9791 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Spots, Crazy Hair, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 302 ETH, 42.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8955 2026-10-18: 32.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8955 2026-09-23: 35.5 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-04: 29.1 ETH (27.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4779 2026-07-23: 34.9 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4779 2026-07-22: 33.3 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-07-11: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-08-09: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-01-09: 0.97 ETH (sale)
- 2020-07-10: 1.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-02: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-06: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-08: 77.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.