CryptoPunk #9816 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Shaved Head, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 62.2 ETH (about $150,782). 1σ range 44.5 to 87.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 122 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 62.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 44.5 to 87.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 122 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Shaved Head -7%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1326 2026-08-21: 51.0 ETH (47.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6953 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6953 2025-08-11: 56.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8812 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2727 2025-01-31: 46.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8812 2024-12-31: 43.9 ETH (36.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8812 2024-11-13: 32.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-22: 39.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-28: 31.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-13: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-28: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-18: 58.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.