CryptoPunk #9819 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Gold Chain, Luxurious Beard, Headband, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $76,582). 1σ range 28.9 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.4 to 37.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 69.9 ETH, 8.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.4 to 37.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mole -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5559 2026-09-21: 30.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3903 2026-02-02: 30.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3903 2024-11-14: 39.8 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4953 2026-05-11: 34.3 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5866 2026-04-22: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.