CryptoPunk #9824 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Mole, Bandana, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.2 ETH (about $75,589). 1σ range 29.5 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7218 2024-11-14: 32.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7218 2024-11-13: 31.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5991 2024-11-11: 27.5 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.