CryptoPunk #9839 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Knitted Cap, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.6 ETH (about $108,073). 1σ range 37.3 to 53.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 63.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.3 to 53.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 63.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (160 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4855 2026-04-21: 39.0 ETH (42.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9390 2026-02-26: 32.8 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8106 2026-01-23: 29.6 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6012 2026-01-20: 44.4 ETH (49.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8106 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-05: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-08: 39.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.